2030: Robot Competence Comparable to Larger Mammals

Second generation universal robots may have mammallike cognitive ability. A conditioned learning mechanism would let past experience guide them among alternative actions in their application programs, gradually adapting to their special circumstances.
A third generation would think like small primates and maintain physical, cultural and psychological models of their world to mentally rehearse and optimize tasks before physically performing them.
A fourth, humanlike, generation would abstract and reason from the world model.